Problem Statement
Prediction markets hold immense potential for harnessing collective intelligence, but user-level inefficiencies and limitations significantly impact their effectiveness.
As the landscape evolves, the need for smarter, user-centric tools that empower individuals to participate efficiently and strategically becomes more apparent.
Market Inequality
The majority of users consistently lose money, with only 18% of Polymarket traders turning a profit while 82% remain in losses. This disparity highlights the dominance of experienced participants and the lack of accessible tools for the average user.
Data Processing Limitations & 24/7 Market Monitoring
Users struggle to analyze vast amounts of market data and shifting odds in real time. Without AI-driven insights, they miss profitable opportunities, miscalculate probabilities, and fail to adapt to rapid market changes. Additionally, prediction markets operate 24/7, requiring continuous monitoring—something human participants cannot sustain, leading to missed trades and suboptimal execution.
Lack of Personalized Strategies
Prediction markets currently provide a one-size-fits-all experience, forcing users into manual research and execution. Without automation and customization, participants struggle to align bets with their unique risk tolerance and strategic preferences.
Missed Opportunities Due to Market Volatility
Real-time odds fluctuate rapidly, but human reaction time is limited. Manual execution results in delays, errors, and missed opportunities, particularly during high-activity periods when speed and precision are critical.
Information Overload & Emotional Bias
Users are overwhelmed by signals, event data, and community insights, making it difficult to filter relevant information. This leads to decision fatigue, misinterpretation of trends, and emotional decision-making—such as chasing losses or over-betting—further reducing profitability.
Limited Access to Advanced Betting Models
Professional syndicates leverage quantitative models to maintain over 60% win rates, while everyday users lack the expertise or tools to compete. Complex strategies like multi-event correlations and risk-adjusted returns remain out of reach for most participants.
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